FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Manchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
MUD
3 - 0
COV
55%
26%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
SOU
0 - 2
MUD
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
SHW
1 - 0
MUD
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
MUD
1 - 2
LIV
23%
27%
51%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
MUD
0 - 0
EVE
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
LEI
3 - 0
OLD
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
MID
1 - 0
OLD
29%
27%
43%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
OLD
0 - 2
SHE
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
OLD
3 - 2
HUL
83%
12%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
OLD
4 - 0
BOU
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |