Manchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
SUN
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
MUD
0 - 2
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
SUN
3 - 0
OLD
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |