Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 1
TOT
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1991 |
MUD
2 - 1
FCB
44%
27%
30%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
CRY
3 - 0
MUD
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1991 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1991 |
WHU
1 - 2
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1991 |
NOT
3 - 1
IPS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
NOT
2 - 0
OLD
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NOT
4 - 0
PLY
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1991 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |