Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
WAT
0 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1982 |
MUD
2 - 0
SOU
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
MUD
3 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
MUD
1 - 0
TOT
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1982 |
NOT
3 - 3
WHU
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
NOT
3 - 2
NTT
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
BHA
0 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
NOT
0 - 0
BIR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |