Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
BBU
5 - 0
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
BBU
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 5
MUD
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 4
MUD
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
2 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
OLD
0 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
MID
5 - 2
NOT
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |