Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
BBU
3 - 3
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 2
BRA
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 1
OLD
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
NOT
3 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
5 - 1
MID
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |