Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 3
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
MUD
4 - 1
SHW
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
7 - 4
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 3
SHE
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |