Manchester United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1895 |
BCF
2 - 1
MUD
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUD
43%
24%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1895 |
MUD
2 - 2
BCF
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
MUD
5 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1895 |
MUD
9 - 0
WAL
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1895 |
LIN
1 - 3
NOT
22%
21%
57%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1895 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOT
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
NOT
2 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1895 |
NOT
4 - 2
ROT
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1895 |
MAC
7 - 1
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |