Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
MUD
1 - 0
LEE
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
MUD
19%
23%
59%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
MUD
1 - 0
COV
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 3
MUD
20%
24%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
MUD
2 - 1
CHL
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
NTT
0 - 0
COV
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
NTT
1 - 5
BBU
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
LEE
1 - 3
NTT
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
NTT
2 - 1
TOT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
WIM
1 - 0
NTT
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |