Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
COV
1 - 0
MUD
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
NEW
0 - 0
MUD
33%
28%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHW
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
NTT
0 - 1
WIM
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
NTT
2 - 1
LEI
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
NTT
2 - 2
MID
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
LEI
0 - 0
NTT
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |