Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
SHE
1 - 1
MUD
40%
23%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
WOL
2 - 3
MUD
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
MUD
3 - 3
LIV
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
IPS
3 - 5
MUD
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
NTT
2 - 1
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
WBA
1 - 4
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 0
ARS
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 4
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 2
NTT
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |