Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 0
MUD
49%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 0
MUD
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
5 - 0
ARS
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
MID
2 - 2
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 2
NOT
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
MID
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 4
NTT
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 2
TOT
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |