Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
BBU
3 - 2
MUD
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
BOL
2 - 3
MUD
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 1
MUD
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 1
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1909 |
NTT
3 - 3
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 4
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |