Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
MUD
2 - 1
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
MUD
3 - 2
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
NTT
2 - 1
BRA
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
BBU
0 - 3
NTT
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
NTT
2 - 1
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1908 |
NTT
5 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
SUN
2 - 1
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |