Manchester United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
SHW
0 - 0
MUD
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
FUL
0 - 1
MUD
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1966 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
MUD
1 - 1
SUN
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
NOR
0 - 2
EVE
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
WHU
1 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 1
BBU
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
SHE
2 - 2
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |