Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MUD
0 - 0
OPA
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
51%
24%
25%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
WIG
0 - 2
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MUD
4 - 1
WHU
78%
15%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WHU
2 - 2
NEW
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
OPA
0 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |