Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1989 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1989 |
QPR
3 - 2
MUD
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
SOU
2 - 1
MUD
36%
28%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1989 |
MUD
1 - 0
WIM
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 1
COV
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 1
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
WIM
4 - 0
NEW
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
NEW
0 - 0
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |