Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NOR
0 - 2
MUD
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
3 - 3
BUR
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
MUD
0 - 1
TOT
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
BIR
1 - 0
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
STO
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |