Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
BUR
5 - 3
MUD
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
46%
21%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 3
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
36%
22%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
MUD
6 - 1
WHU
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
NEW
4 - 4
WOL
37%
23%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 3
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |