Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUD
27%
24%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHW
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUD
52%
21%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 3
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
PNE
0 - 5
MUD
40%
24%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |