Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
MID
1 - 4
MUD
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 0
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
14%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 6
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 4
HUR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
NEW
3 - 0
DER
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 3
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIV
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |