Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 6
HUR
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
CHL
6 - 2
MUD
40%
24%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
MUD
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 4
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 5
SHE
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 2
GRI
65%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
54%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |