Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
3 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 3
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
5 - 2
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |