Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHW
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
BIR
0 - 0
MUD
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1927 |
SHW
0 - 2
MUD
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
MUD
3 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1927 |
WBA
2 - 2
MUD
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1927 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
NEW
4 - 1
TOT
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
HUR
1 - 3
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1927 |
LEI
2 - 1
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHW
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |