Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 0
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
6 - 1
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 0
MUD
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 2
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
NEW
7 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEI
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 0
NEW
38%
30%
32%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |