Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 2
BUR
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
BRA
4 - 2
MUD
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
MUD
2 - 2
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 3
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |