Manchester United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
20%
24%
56%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
59%
22%
20%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
BBU
1 - 0
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MUD
0 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 0
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DER
2 - 0
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MIL
0 - 1
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 2
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NTT
2 - 2
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |