Manchester United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
QPR
2 - 2
MUD
44%
28%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 0
QPR
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1989 |
MID
1 - 0
MUD
22%
28%
50%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1989 |
MUD
3 - 1
LIV
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1988 |
MUD
2 - 0
NTT
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 2
LUT
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
DER
0 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1988 |
WIM
1 - 0
MIL
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
MIL
1 - 0
SHW
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |