Champions League Last 16
Global 0-2
Manchester United vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
21%
26%
53%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
20%
25%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 0
BIR
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 4
MUD
55%
23%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
3 - 0
MID
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
REG
0 - 1
ACM
17%
28%
55%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
ACM
18%
28%
54%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |