Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
50%
25%
26%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
MUD
0 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
39%
26%
35%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 2
ZEN
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
OPA
0 - 1
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SUN
2 - 0
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
OPA
2 - 1
MID
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MID
2 - 1
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
MID
5 - 1
YEO
84%
11%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |