Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
1 - 2
CHL
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
EXE
0 - 2
MUD
14%
24%
62%
|
93 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
24%
27%
49%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NOR
4 - 4
MID
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
MID
16%
26%
58%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |