Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
EVE
3 - 4
MUD
14%
22%
64%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 3
MUD
10%
20%
70%
|
94 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 0
MUD
11%
20%
70%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MUD
0 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
LEE
0 - 3
MID
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |