Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 5
MUD
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1938 |
OPA
0 - 0
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
MUD
1 - 1
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
EVE
3 - 0
MUD
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
DER
1 - 4
MID
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
MID
9 - 2
BPO
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 1
MID
53%
21%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 1
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |