Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
BBU
5 - 4
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
5 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MID
2 - 0
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
BBU
7 - 0
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
5 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
3 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |