Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 0
HUR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 3
BUR
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
HUR
5 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
MID
1 - 4
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |