Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
5 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 1
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
MID
3 - 1
SHW
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
MID
4 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
4 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
MID
3 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |