Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 4
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
5 - 0
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
NTT
0 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1907 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
STO
0 - 2
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |