Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
2 - 0
STU
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
WBA
2 - 0
MUD
13%
21%
65%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
36%
25%
39%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 1
MUD
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
EVE
0 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TOT
3 - 1
MAC
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
DYS
0 - 0
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
NEW
3 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |