Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis

Manchester United Manchester City
87 ELO 81
-8.5% Tilt 5.1%
32º General ELO ranking 12º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.2%
Manchester United
21.8%
Draw
15%
Manchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
Manchester United
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
Manchester City
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manchester United
-6%
-12%
Manchester City

ELO progression

Manchester United
Manchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 1991
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Legia Warszawa
WAR
72%
20%
9%
87 78 9 0
21 Apr. 1991
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
38%
27%
35%
88 79 9 -1
16 Apr. 1991
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 1
Derby County
DER
74%
18%
8%
87 73 14 +1
10 Apr. 1991
WAR
Legia Warszawa
1 - 3
Manchester United
MUD
27%
29%
43%
87 78 9 0
06 Apr. 1991
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
37%
27%
36%
87 82 5 0

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 1991
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 5
Manchester City
MAC
55%
24%
21%
81 82 1 0
20 Apr. 1991
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
Derby County
DER
72%
18%
10%
81 73 8 0
17 Apr. 1991
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
71%
19%
10%
80 89 9 +1
10 Apr. 1991
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
57%
24%
19%
80 81 1 0
06 Apr. 1991
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
37%
26%
36%
80 86 6 0