Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 0
LUT
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
QPR
1 - 0
MUD
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
MUD
0 - 2
WHU
62%
23%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
WHU
1 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
MAC
0 - 1
WAT
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
MAC
0 - 3
OXF
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1986 |
EVE
4 - 0
MAC
80%
13%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
MAC
2 - 0
QPR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |