Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
TOT
2 - 1
MUD
51%
21%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
STO
3 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 4
WHU
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1966 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |