Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1959 |
TOT
1 - 3
MUD
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 4
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
MUD
3 - 1
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
34%
22%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1959 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
EVE
3 - 1
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
PNE
2 - 0
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |