Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
HUR
1 - 3
MUD
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
MUD
4 - 1
BPO
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1954 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
42%
22%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1955 |
MAC
2 - 2
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |