Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
NTT
2 - 1
MUD
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
MUD
3 - 2
BBU
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
MUD
4 - 1
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
EVE
3 - 3
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
5 - 1
BCF
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
WOL
3 - 2
MAC
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEE
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |