Manchester United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 1
NTT
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
28%
28%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
NOR
2 - 1
MUD
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOU
100%
0%
0%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
BOU
1 - 1
MUD
2%
21%
77%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
QPR
1 - 1
LUT
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
LUT
0 - 1
SHW
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
LIV
5 - 0
LUT
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 2
MIL
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
LUT
2 - 0
WHU
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |