Manchester United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEI
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
0 - 1
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
MUD
31%
22%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
DUK
1 - 0
MUD
30%
22%
48%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 4
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 2
LUT
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
5 - 1
WBA
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
OPA
5 - 0
LUT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 1
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
LUT
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |