Manchester United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1956 |
BVB
0 - 0
MUD
30%
22%
48%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 2
LEE
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 0
WOL
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CHL
4 - 1
LUT
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 1
PNE
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 1
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |