Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
22%
25%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 0
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MUD
1 - 1
ROC
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
WHU
2 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEI
75%
16%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
LIV
4 - 3
RBS
56%
21%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SHE
0 - 1
LIV
8%
16%
76%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MKD
0 - 2
LIV
6%
15%
79%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |