Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 1
MUD
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
MUD
2 - 2
SHE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
MUD
4 - 1
BPO
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 6
MUD
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
OPA
5 - 1
LIV
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
LIV
5 - 2
BPO
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
LIV
1 - 2
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
SUN
3 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |