Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
DER
1 - 3
MUD
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
OPA
2 - 2
MUD
47%
24%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
MID
1 - 4
MUD
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 0
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
PNE
3 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |